I'll make no bones about the fact that I'm a huge fan of Cloud Foundry. It's the right play, by the right people at the right time. Despite all the attempts to dilute the message over the last eleven years, Platform as a Service (or what was originally called Framework as a Service) is about write code, write data and consume services. All the other bits from containers to the management of such are red herrings. They maybe useful subsystems but they miss the point which is the necessity for constraint.
Constraint (i.e. the limitation of choice) enables innovation and the major problem we have with building at speed is almost always duplication or yak shaving. Not only do we repeat common tasks to deploy an application but most of our code is endlessly rewritten throughout the world. How many times in your coding life have you written a method to add a new user or to extract consumer data? How many times do you think others have done the same thing? How many times are not only functions but entire applications repeated endlessly between corporates or governments? The overwhelming majority of the stuff we write is yak shaving and I would be honestly surprised if more than 0.1% of what we write is actually unique.
Now whilst Cloud Foundry has been doing an excellent job of getting rid of some of the yak shaving, in the same way that Amazon kicked off the removal of infrastructure yak shaving - for most of us, unboxing servers, racking them and wiring up networks is a thankfully an irrelevant thing of the past - there is much more to be done. There are some future steps that I believe that Cloud Foundry needs to take and fortunately the momentum is such behind it that I'm confident of talking about them here without giving a competitor any advantage.
First, it needs to create that competitive market of Cloud Foundry providers. Fortunately this is exactly what it is helping to do. That market must also be focused on differentiation by price and quality of service and not the dreaded differentiation by feature (a surefire way to create a collective prisoner dilemma and sink a project in a utility world). This is all happening and it's glorious.
Second, it needs to increasingly leave the past ideas of infrastructure behind and by that I mean containers as well. The focus needs to be server less i.e. you write code, you write data and you consume services. Everything else needs to be buried as a subsystem. I know analysts run around going "is it using docker?" but that's because many analysts are halfwits who like to gabble on about stuff that doesn't matter. It's irrelevant. That's not the same as saying Docker is not important, it has huge potential as an invisible subsystem.
Third, it needs to provide a mechanism of billing down to the function. One of the things we discovered with Zimki (the first PaaS) was that in a single application it was often discrete functions which generated most of the cost (Zimki had billing at the function level based upon Javascript operations, I/O and network). By having billing at the function, you cause a radical change in the way people write, refactor and refine code. There's nothing like seeing that 70% of your application running cost is being caused by one function to get you to evaluate that function. It also tends to help performance. The existing usage events in Cloud Foundry are fine but not enough. It needs to go deeper (hint to providers - that needs an asynchronous mechanism of logging, things like network taps, it worked a treat in 2005).
Fourth, and most importantly, it needs to tackle yak shaving at the coding level. The simplest way to do this is to provide a CPAN like repository which can include individual functions as well as entire applications (hint. Github probably isn't upto this). One of the biggest lies of object orientated design was code re-use. This never happened (or rarely did) because no communication mechanism existed to actually share code. CPAN (in the Perl world) helped (imperfectly) to solve that problem. Cloud Foundry needs exactly the same thing. When I'm writing a system, if I need a customer object, then ideally I should just be able to pull in the entire object and functions related to this from a CPAN like library because lets face it, how many times should I really have to write a postcode lookup function?
But shouldn't things like postcode lookup be provided as a service? Yes! And that's the beauty.
By monitoring a CPAN like library you can quickly discover (simply by examining meta data such as downloads, changes) as to what functions are commonly being used and have become stable. These are all candidates for standard services to be provided into Cloud Foundry and offered by the CF providers. Your CPAN environment is actually a sensing engine for future services and you can use an ILC like model to exploit this. The bigger the ecosystem is, the more powerful it will become.
I would be shocked if Amazon isn't already using Lambda and the API gateway to identify future "services" and Cloud Foundry shouldn't hesitate to press any advantage here. This process will also create a virtuous cycle as new things which people develop that are shared in the CPAN library will over time become stable, widespread and provided as services enabling other people to more quickly develop new things. This concept of sharing code and combing a collaborative effort of the entire ecosystem was a central part of the Zimki play and it's as relevant today as it was then. By the way, try doing that with containers. Hint, they are way too low level and your only hope is through constraint such as that provided in the manufacture of unikernels.
There is a battle here because if Cloud Foundry doesn't exploit the ecosystem and AWS plays its normal game then it could run away with the show. The danger of this seems slight at the moment (but it will grow) because of the momentum with Cloud Foundry and because of the people running the show. Get this right and we will live in a world where not only do I have portability between providers but when I come to code my novel idea for my next great something then I'll discover that 99% of the code has already been done by others. I'll mostly need to stitch all the right services and functions together and add a bit extra.
Oh, but that's not possible is it? In 2006, Tom Inssam wrote for me and released live to the web a new style of wiki (with client side preview) in under an hour using Zimki. I wrote an internet mood map and basic trading application in a couple of days. Yes, this is very possible. I know, I experienced it and this isn't 2006, this is 2016!
Cloud Foundry (with a bit of luck) might finally release the world from the endless Yak shaving we have to endure in IT. It might make the lie of object re-use finally come true. The potential of the platform space is vastly more than most suspect and almost everything, and I do mean everything will be rewritten to run on it.
I look forward to the day that most Yaks come pre-shaved.