Project management in tweets ...

• All business activities are in transition from innovation (rare and poorly understood) to commodity-like (common and well defined).


• The characteristics of an activity vary during its lifecycle. An innovation is dynamic & requires deviation whilst a commodity does not.


• How to manage an activity varies with the stage of its lifecycle. Which is why no single project methodology is suitable everywhere.


• Successful project management is knowing when to use static (six sigma, prince 2) and when to use dynamic methodologies (XP, Scrum).

Welcome to the free cloud ...

I was happy that we launched Ubuntu Enterprise Cloud yesterday along with the official Ubuntu Images on Amazon EC2.

With Ubuntu you can build your own private cloud that matches the EC2 API or you can build in Amazon EC2 with Ubuntu.

This is a first step towards creating a market and free clouds.

Innovation Management in tweets ...

• Many people mix up the terms invention, idea and innovation.


• Innovation is the first(ish) attempt to put an idea into practice. You can manage the process of implementation.


• Ideas are postulated entities and concepts derived from invention and discovery. You can create an environment to encourage ideas.


• You can encourage and manage some aspects of innovation but the real trick is finding out which idea is going to be valuable.


• There is an inverse relationship between the future value of an activity and how certain we are about this.


• We don't know which ideas will be successful - we have to take a guess and often we will fail in our guesses.


• Innovation management is a mix of management, encouragement, guess work and embracing failure.

Actions speak louder ...

Today, the chancellor presented an excellent budget.

The budget contained investment in building & green technology, measures for the protection of society's most vulnerable, focus on training & jobs, benefits to savers, introduction of a higher tax rate and increased government borrowing in order to maintain public spending. Unfortunately whilst it's an excellent step in the right direction, it's just a step and we've got an enormous mountain to climb. That said, combined with Brown's recent lambasting of snout troughing MP's, this has been a good few days.

It's still a great shame we purchased all those gilts in the "quantitative easing" fiasco, that interest rates have remained too low, we've been foolishly generous regarding re-insurance of bad debts, the excessive bonus culture remains intact and the for the wealthiest it is all too easy to avoid tax. However, at least this we're heading in the right direction.

Naturally, a few of the most advantaged made the usual hollow threats to leave the country. Such words not only demonstrate arrogant beliefs of self-importance but also a delusion that anyone else cares or that somehow they won't be replaced in a heartbeat. Please don't threaten to leave - just leave, go on, sod off ... and don't come back.

Events I will be speaking at ...

I'm happy to say that I've been invited to give a keynote at OSCON this year and I'll also be providing a general session track on cloud computing.

Events I won't be speaking at ...

I've heard of lot of rumblings about various cloud conferences having excessive vendor bias. I suspect I know why.

I offered to speak at two upcoming cloud conferences and have been turned down. Fair enough, I might put a lot of work into speaking but I'm hardly a digerati.

I've then subsequently been told that I could speak if I paid £2,000+ or Canonical hired a booth. Wow, so speaker selection is no longer based upon the topic, the quality of the talk but instead how much cash you've got?

No wonder there are rumblings.

There and back again ... a personal journey.

Back in 2006, the company I ran, Fotango, publicly launched a JavaScript application platform that ran on an utility computing environment. It was known as Zimki. It was a forerunner to what today we call PaaS (Platform as a Service).

Zimki developed a loyal and forgiving following. Platforms on the internet were new and we were learning. Amazon EC2 also launched (a few weeks later) and we felt we were in good company. However, we knew that creating competitive marketplaces that gave users a choice in providers and easy portability between them was critical for the success of this future industry.

Although this wasn't a new idea - the same effect had happened in networks and many other fields - it was the reasoning behind the decision to announce the open sourcing of Zimki back in October 2006. We planned to create the "infrastructure for a 'national' grid for Zimki environments" with choice for users and competition between providers.

Yes, this meant we were going to give an "easy route to competitors into this environment", but that's the point - to create a wider market.

Our future was set, a marketplace of providers with freedom of code and data based upon standards implemented through open source code. It made logical, economic and business sense, Fotango was a profitable company and there was the potential for huge future revenue streams. Azure, Force.com and Google App Engine were still "visions" and we were a pioneer. Make the right moves and we would become the dominant platform in this space.

Unfortunately, I miscalculated. Our parent company Canon didn't see our "cloud" computing vision as aligned to its core business. We were toast, the open sourcing was stopped and Zimki ended.

Without an alternative provider, our users were unable to move their code and data. This was one of the problems we had tried to solve and alas the same thing has happened again with CogHead.

Anyway, I no longer work at Canon. Today, I work at Canonical.

Canonical embraces open source and the "cloud"; it understands that this is a future direction of technology and it sees this change as core to its business. In the next release of Ubuntu we've included Eucalyptus into the distribution. This means that anyone can create their own private cloud which matches the Amazon EC2 API using open source technology. The reasoning for choosing Eucalyptus was simple: pick the emerging standard (i.e. Amazon EC2 API) and find an open source reference implementation of it.

We're also releasing official Ubuntu images for Amazon EC2 API. We want to help and encourage our users to build in Amazon's cloud along with building and experimenting with their own clouds. We also want to see multiple providers develop around the EC2 API, and portability between
them.

Amazon EC2 API is the emerging de-facto standard that the market has
chosen. Hopefully, with Eucalyptus in the Ubuntu distribution we will see the market further adopt the EC2 API in private clouds and, ultimately, actual moves towards an open cloud.

This is my one grumble with the open cloud manifesto. It's good to talk but the ideas of an open cloud environment have already been heavily discussed over the last three years.There's no need for a manifesto that rehashes old ground; what's needed is the adoption and promotion of standards based around open source reference models.

Fortunately the open cloud manifesto might actually achieve this. The 170 odd companies who have signed up to it have all agreed "to adopt existing standards wherever appropriate", to use "standards organizations" and to address portability through standards.

With further market adoption of the EC2 API supported by the inclusion of Eucalyptus into the Ubuntu distribution, we might see a push towards IETF recognition of a market chosen standard. At which point, if the companies behind the open cloud manifesto are true to their word we should see widespread adoption of the EC2 API as the standard.

For Amazon this is the strategic equivalent of checkmate against any new major entrant, as it provides a mechanism to retain competitive advantage by being at the forefront of any standardisation effort. For the community, it is a step towards a future of portable environments between providers and the promotion of open source as the dominant model in the cloud computing space.

This is what I tried to start with Zimki all those years back. It does create a feeling of deja vu to be back in a similar position. At least this time, there will be no broken promises and it's going to be done right.

The technology preview of Ubuntu Enterprise Cloud which combines Eucalyptus into the Ubuntu Server Edition will be released tomorrow (Thursday 23rd April)

Inflation still rampant

Depressingly, inflation still continues to remain well above the government 2% target at 2.9%. Sterling has also gone through a sustained period of depreciation and nothing is being done.

What I'm bemused about is how some are calling "quantitative easing" a success and stating that we need more of it. What we need to do is raise taxes, nationalise the building industry, increases interest rates and start building social housing. But don't worry, we're going to get a £5,000 voucher to buy a green car instead.

They've all gone quackers.

No surprises ...

The idea of printing money to buy high interest gilts (a type of government bond) at the top of the market was the monetarists "solution" to our economic crisis. It even has a catchy name - quantitative easing - which makes it sound like they know what they're talking about. To anyone with an iota of sense, it's financial lunacy.

The first thing you've got to stop doing when you're in a hole is to stop digging. Alas dug we have and our much admired army of great economists and bankers have got us into further trouble. Whilst the recapitalisation of banks was a good move, much of the rest has been woeful.

Interest rates have remained far too low, the currency has been depressed and inflation is accelerating. As of Feb'09 it grew to 3.2%, well above the governments own target. There is even the chatter in some political classes that inflation is a good thing and that quantitative easing is working.

This action is all a result of the desperate search for easy options rather than dealing with the problem at hand. We should have nationalised the building industry, redistributed wealth through tax, increased the supply of social housing and prepared for the storm. Instead, we've let those who've most profited from their recklessness of the hook and raided the piggy banks of the prudent.

If you are a saver, then you have my sympathy. You might have scrimped and saved your whole life but whatever you leave in the bank is likely to become worthless over the next few years. Your savings have in effect been spent by other people.

However, there is always a silver lining. Once we've been ravaged by hyperinflation and crawled through the subsequent social upheaval and repression, our society will once again become repulsed by our ways.

The new order will care about social mobility, meritocracy and those things which should make us great. We've been here before, shame we had to go through it again just to learn the same old lessons.

On Speaking ...

Web 2.0 was fantastic. I really enjoyed the talk, the audience was blooming wonderful and the conference exceptional. I was also overwhelmed by the audience that turned up to my talk at SYS-CON.

I was even described by a couple of people as a "presentation rockstar" - wow, thanks but unfortunately wrong.

I love speaking and I'll admit that I do a fairly reasonable job of it these days. It's such an honour and a pleasure to speak to my peers but it's a lot of hard work and physically draining. For your average 40 minute talk, you're talking 120 hours+ of solid work. Whilst, I normally mash-up one talk to the next, each modified version still takes 35+ hours to prepare. On top of this you can often add the agony of flights (12 hours+ in a cramped environment is my favourite), the fog of jetlag and all the usual exhaustion which goes with it.

However, it's all worth it just to hear a few people say how much they enjoyed the talk or how it helped them. Speaking is an opportunity to give something back and it's a delight to do so.

Unfortunately, I'm lousy at self promotion and hence I find it difficult to break into new conferences. If I was a "presentation rockstar" then it would be a different matter. This is why I often speak at the same conferences because at least I'm a known quantity.

So, I'm going to ask you for help. There's a conference coming up about cloud and I'm trying to convince the organisers that I can present, that I know my stuff and that I've been speaking about clouds (or what we used to call utility computing) & open source for a long time. This is not an easy task because I'm a relative unknown compared to many "cloud superstars". I need to convince them that I can really speak on this subject.

Hence, I'm asking you, if you've ever heard me speak, can you leave a comment about how you found the talk (good or bad) so I can at least say ... "this is what the community thinks".

Thanks.

Help needed with the Cloud ...

I'm writing a piece on cloud computing and I'm stuck on a particular analogy. I need to know who invented the "industrial revolution" and who actually first coined the phrase?

Also, I'm still looking for a short and catchy definition for the "industrial revolution" which explains everything in a single sentence rather than requiring me to read several volumes of enlightened historical writings.

Come on people, it has been over two hundred years now. Surely we've got this one nailed down to 140 characters or less.