Tuesday, January 06, 2009

Mystic Me 2.0

Last year I made some cowardly custard predictions for 2008 and I was pretty much spot on with all ten. How did I do it? Well they were already occurring trends.

So this year, I thought I'd try much luck with ten more cowardly custard predictions.

These are:-

  • Economists at the end of the year will be predicting that the U.K. recession in 2010 will be more severe than previously predicted.
  • House prices will continue to fall.
  • "Cloud" computing and Open Source Technologies will continue to become major growth areas for IT.
  • The FTSE 100 will drop below 3,500.
  • Bored with SOA, ROA, WOA, SaaS, HaaS, IaaS and so on? This year new acronyms will be created to describe the convergence of "cloud" computing and service oriented architecture (as if they weren't already part of the same phenomenon). Expect lots of arguments and people getting rather antsy.
  • With the adoption of 3G network enabled devices, mobile security and malicious mobile applications will become a serious security concern.
  • Camping holidays and knitting will enjoy a resurgence.
  • Yahoo will be sold for less than $15bn.
  • The use of printed organic semiconducting materials, printed nano-particle solutions, printed OLEDs and the field of printed electronics in general will receive a boost as the first commercial printed OLED displays are released.
  • Lots of people will grumble that the new Dr Who isn't as good as "David Tennant".


Anonymous said...

Knitting??! You must be mad. 2009 is going to be the Year of Weaving - mark my words.

swardley said...

Whether it's tacking, running, over or herringbone - I'd agree that this is the Year of the Slipstitch.

Knitting, weaving, needlework, the awe of the seamstress and the growth in the second hand sewing machine market!

Hmmm, is there a futures opportunity here? Can I sell short on shop bought and go long on home made? Though not of course too long, that will just require me to hem the garment later on.

Fancy an exotic instrument? I've got a groovy pair of sewing scissors.

As for options, well when it comes to home stitched presents for Christmas your only option will be to say "thanks".

As for swaps, my mother's jumper for two of your hand knitted scarves - well the opportunity for market innovation is endless.

Stitchers and DIY tailors will be back in fashion in 2009 / 2010 / 2011 / 2012. They will be the new Gods of the market with the added upside that when it goes wrong you'll only end up with a wonky jumper.

After which the recession will finally be over and we can get back to bankers plundering the market until the next mess.

Anonymous said...

No, no, no...it’s going to the year of the patch because nice quality Slipstitch is not going fix or cover the really big holes that will be appearing in 2009+

swardley said...

Well, the FTSE is already closing on 3500 - hmm, I might have to make my other predictions public.

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